All major markets rocket back over 10% today. A lot of short squeezes probably. I don’t believe that there’re so many longs that couldn’t wait and jump on the buying spree.
On the monthly chart of Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU), you can see that we’re approaching previous low, which occured 5 years ago. Have we reached the bottom yet? Not sure, but we might be near the bottom judging by the previous low, which is the current support level.
The looming global recession is on everyone’s mind, so it’s possible that the support may not hold. There will be many ups and downs around that support. We can certainly play longs at the support level and shorts at any rally near 9,500/10,000 zone. The markets are currently in oversold condition and volatility will remain high as seen in the past a few weeks.
On the 3-month daily chart, INDU is moving away from the oversold condition. If we don’t see a follow through on this snap back, the downward trend will continue. 8,000 looks like a good support for now and the more fight between the bears and bulls around 8,000 the stronger it will become. If the downtrend continues, 7,500 is the next major support to watch.
The market acted like a yo-yo. Yesterday Dow Jones Industrial was down 115 and today it’s up 172. The blue lines might be the bottom for the short term. We shall see some upside to test the SMA 200 which acts like the dividing line of bulls and bears.
LU must break out from this dreadful downtrend line or this pop would be just another good short! The hammer stopped right below SMA20 too. We shall see soon how the bulls and bears resolve on this one.
It turned out that last night’s low 1057.75 was the bottom. S&P 500 rallied back to the resistence level 1070, a few points away from the high 1075. INDU is fewer than 50 points away from 10K. Barring from any surprises, we shall see 10K pretty soon since everyone is talking about it.
Covered the short, reversed, and rode through half way, but missed the last leg from 1064 to 1070. Went short again at 1068 and 1069. We shall see some pullback tomorrow morning after this big run up, but so far hours into the new session, the market stays right at 1069.75×1070. The bears and bulls won’t blink. The stalemate should resolve in the morning.