Will we see a short-term correction on S&P 500?


The blue candle showed on Friday when the job market report didn’t make the grade. The sell-off occured in the first a few minutes and last hour. Before the last hour plunge, it actually recovered most of the loss.

The volume (judging from SPY chart) was more than 50% higher than average.

It was rumored that a big firm sold a lots of puts to their customers and had to sell ES to hedge their position, thus the big plunge in the last hour.

Since the uptrend line is still intact, Monday’s open shall give us some indication of where the market will go. Currently, it’s pretty extended. It would make sense if it goes sideway for a few days or a week to ease up the over bought condition. I would not be a buyer at this time. I will look for weakness to short it.

August is over

Slowly moving August is over. After this comming Labor Day week, trading volume should be picking up as traders return from their summer vacations. NASDAQ has reached new high and INDU and SPX are approaching its recent high respectively. All markets have done some base building, we will find out wheither or not they will break out or go down. Short term wise, it looks the market will move up a little. Short: QQQ Oct 32 Put (it’s not working obviously after QQQ’s big run up). Long: HNP (I have been waiting for opportunity to own some HNP shares), SUNW, SOHU and MSFT (SSF).